Analytics
A deeper read on the model than the headline numbers — which prop types it is actually good at, how that has moved event by event, and how individual players have finished. Back to the headline track record.
Model version v20260502_135254
13 events · 8,637 predictions
Accuracy by Prop Type
ModelBaseline (base rate)Brier score — lower is better
Make Cut0.258vs 0.2499 eventsn=1,352
Matchup0.253vs 0.23413 eventsn=825
Top 100.086vs 0.08313 eventsn=1,615
Top 200.147vs 0.14513 eventsn=1,615
Top 50.046vs 0.04613 eventsn=1,615
Win0.008vs 0.00813 eventsn=1,615
Brier Score by Event
Make Cut (9 events, n=1,352)Matchup (13 events, n=825)Top 10 (13 events, n=1,615)Top 20 (13 events, n=1,615)Top 5 (13 events, n=1,615)Win (13 events, n=1,615)
Model v20260502_135254 · Brier score, lower is better. Events with no row for a prop (for example the make-cut prop at a no-cut event) leave a gap rather than a zero.